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Texas A&M Researchers Aid Gulf Coast Evacuation Planning

A decade-long collaboration between Texas A&M University and emergency agencies uses storm-surge and population data to develop real-time hurricane evacuation strategies for Gulf Coast communities.

Reese Fenn

September 30, 20262 min read

Coastal Safety Planning - illustration, Jake Team LLC

Researchers at Texas A&M University are collaborating with local, state, and federal emergency partners to map storm-surge risks and plan evacuation routes for hurricanes along the Gulf Coast. This effort spans more than ten years of work helping agencies develop data-driven strategies for coastal regions including the Rio Grande Valley, the Coastal Bend, and Southeast Texas.

The research team works with municipalities, county officials, and federal partners such as NOAA, FEMA, and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. These organizations evaluate storm surge risks and establish evacuation zones tailored to shifting coastal populations.

Walter Peacock, professor and principal investigator, stated that the team collaborates with local entities to re-evaluate surge risk by analyzing where inundations are likely given different storm types, trajectories, forward speeds, and wind speeds.

The resulting data feeds into HURREVAC, the primary software decision-makers use during active storm threats to calculate evacuation times. Peacock explained that officials use this analysis to determine which zones require evacuation based on a storm's projected impact.

David Bierling of the Texas A&M Transportation Institute and the Hazard Reduction and Recovery Center leads the team’s behavioral studies, focusing on human behavior and resident response to emergency notifications. He convened an analysis summit as part of the final Southeast Texas Study Area, attended by researchers who have studied multiple evacuation events in Texas.

Douglas Wunneburger, co-principal investigator from the Department of Landscape Architecture and Urban Planning, noted that spatial analysis and GIS mapping allow the team to pinpoint at-risk neighborhoods. The process begins with surge models based on historic and predicted storm scenarios to determine risk defined by potential maximum extent of surge inundation.

The team selects geographic features, usually highways, to set draft zone boundaries for review by local experts. Once boundaries are set, estimates for population vulnerability, number of vehicles, and temporary lodging populations are derived.

Source: Texas A&M University.

Sources

today.tamu.edu

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Reese Fenn

Reese Fenn writes about community life, schools, public safety, and local events in College Station.

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